What does it really mean I’m leaving crypto this year? Let
CryptoBirb
Updated at: 3 hours ago
{"content":"What does it really mean I’m leaving crypto this year?
Let me explain...
First of all, it doesn't mean I'm disappearing lol.
It's my 9th year in crypto & I'm far from leaving for good.
Besides, there's a mission and vision I'm fighting for.
I'm only referring the financial rotation.
When someone tells you they exit, here's what it means:
You can't exit into a vacuum.
You just rotate capital — from one market to another — based on risk, timing, and cycle data.
For that, here are some facts & figures to consider:
➾ My crypto exit will last 6–9 months (complex process)
➾ I had several big entries @ SMA200 resets: ~20k, 30k, 40k, and 50k since early 2023 (all shared publicly)
➾ Current #BTC performance from the bear market low is +700%, vs historical annualised return of +145%.
➾ Cycle tops always occurred in US post-election years: 2013, 2017, 2021 (now 2025).
➾ Bear markets always followed in midterm years: 2014, 2018, 2022.
➾ 2026 is a midterm year. Avg BTC bear return is –66%, with drawdowns from top to bottom reaching -80%.
➾ BTC topped in Q2 or Q4 in 100% of cases (Q2 ended). Q3 is weak seasonally (low volumes, summer lull).
➾ September is the worst month (–6.17% avg). Oct/Nov are historically strongest (Q4 avg +51%, Nov +17.34%).
➾ Macro: inverted yield curve (22/23), trade war, high rates → recession risk 6–9 months later = late 2025 / early 2026.
My opinion: top in July or late October/early November.
Rotation: cash, real estate, gold, hedge funds, luxury.
I'd burnt millions before (not willing to repeat that).
Better to exit into strength than hold through –70% bear.
I’ll look to re-enter crypto in Q4 2026 or early 2027 — after recession signals reset (aggressive rate cuts end of 2026/2027), and asymmetric upside returns.
It's a cyclical process - different time, same story.
Rinse and repeat.
That’s how we grow.","images":["https://d2kdcqywr8ua22.cloudfront.net/uploadfile/article/blog/2025072025/07/09/1a2bfaf6663cb548553483789ad4f6db.jpg"],"tags":[],"tradingPairs":["BTC/USDT"],"quotearticleid":0}